000 |
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01996cam 2200397 a 4500$ |
001 |
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ocn780480483$ |
003 |
|
OCoLC$ |
005 |
|
20121018101910.0$ |
008 |
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120703s2012 nyua b 001 0 eng $ |
010 |
|
$a 2012027308$ |
020 |
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$a9781594204111 (hbk.)$ |
020 |
|
$a159420411X (hbk.)$ |
035 |
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$a(OCoLC)780480483$ |
040 |
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$aDLC$beng$cDLC$dIG#$dBTCTA$dBDX$dWIM$dOCLCO$dUPZ$dRNC$dIK2$dYDXCP$dJQM$dVP@$dORX$dJRY$ |
049 |
|
$aJRYA$ |
050 |
00 |
$aCB158$b.S54 2012$ |
082 |
00 |
$a519.5/42$223$ |
092 |
|
$a519.542 SILVER$ |
100 |
1 |
$aSilver, Nate,$d1978-$ |
245 |
14 |
$aThe signal and the noise :$bwhy most predictions fail-- but some don't /$cNate Silver.$ |
260 |
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$aNew York :$bPenguin Press,$c2012.$ |
300 |
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$a534 p. :$bill. ;$c25 cm.$ |
336 |
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$atext$btxt$2rdacontent$ |
337 |
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$aunmediated$bn$2rdamedia$ |
338 |
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$avolume$bnc$2rdacarrier$ |
504 |
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$aIncludes bibliographical references and index.$ |
505 |
0 |
$aA Catastrophic failure of prediction -- Are you smarter than a television pundit -- All I care about is W's and L's -- For years you've been telling us that rain is green -- Desperately seeking signal -- How to drown in three feet of water -- Role models -- Less and less and less wrong -- Rage against the machines -- The poker bubble -- If you can't beat 'em -- A climate of healthy skepticism -- What you don't know can hurt you.$ |
520 |
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$aSilver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair's breadth, and became a national sensation as a blogger. Drawing on his own groundbreaking work, Silver examines the world of prediction.$ |
650 |
0 |
$aForecasting$ |
650 |
0 |
$aForecasting$xMethodology.$ |
650 |
0 |
$aForecasting$xHistory.$ |
650 |
0 |
$aBayesian statistical decision theory$ |
650 |
0 |
$aKnowledge, Theory of$ |
907 |
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$a.b13905284$b07-21-16$c05-09-15$ |
994 |
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$aC0$bJRY$ |
998 |
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$a(4)0a$a(6)1a$a(6)2a$a(14)3a$a(12)4a$a(2)5a$a(4)6a$b05-09-15$cm$da$e-$feng$gnyu$h4$ |
999 |
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$a355745$ |