The Signal and the Noise
why most predictions fail-- but some don't
Are you smarter than a television pundit
All I care about is W's and L's
For years you've been telling us that rain is green
Desperately seeking signal
How to drown in three feet of water
Less and less and less wrong
Rage against the machines
The poker bubble
If you can't beat 'em
A climate of healthy skepticism
What you don't know can hurt you
Bayesian statistical decision theory
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