An interesting, well-written book but I found it wasn't as user-friendly as I expected. It seemed to me that a lay person couldn't grasp all the concepts Silver had stated and explained. Having said that I have to concede that this might well be the starting point for many of us to dig deeper and try to learn the statistics and Math involved in predictions. I liked the way Silver explained the difference between risk and uncertainty and predictions and forecasts. All in all an eminently readable book.

An excellent analysis of how we get mis-led by predictions of so called experts---like pundits and TV weathermen---and how they deceive themselves or purposely distort their forecasts to get noticed. A must read for any academic in almost any field and anyone else who wants to see how they can get mis-led and how to question what you read/hear.

Excellent analysis, with enormous relevance for understanding not only highly accurate election forecasting (for which Silver is best known), but also weather forecasting, terrorism forecasting, accurate forecasting of the effects of CO2 accumulation in the atmosphere. I probably would have given it five stars were it not for the extensive sections on sports and gambling, subjects I find terminably boring. Then again, that could interest a lot of you in reading this book!